Thrivent Moderately Servative Fund Market Value

TCAIX Fund  USD 13.14  0.08  0.61%   
Thrivent Moderately's market value is the price at which a share of Thrivent Moderately trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thrivent Moderately Servative investors about its performance. Thrivent Moderately is trading at 13.14 as of the 2nd of March 2025; that is 0.61 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thrivent Moderately Servative and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thrivent Moderately over a given investment horizon. Check out Thrivent Moderately Correlation, Thrivent Moderately Volatility and Thrivent Moderately Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thrivent Moderately.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thrivent Moderately's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thrivent Moderately is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thrivent Moderately's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thrivent Moderately 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thrivent Moderately's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thrivent Moderately.
0.00
01/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thrivent Moderately on January 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thrivent Moderately Servative or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thrivent Moderately over 30 days. Thrivent Moderately is related to or competes with Tiaa Cref, Avantis Us, Guidemark Large, Lord Abbett, and Profunds-large Cap. The investment seeks long-term capital growth while providing reasonable stability of principal More

Thrivent Moderately Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thrivent Moderately's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thrivent Moderately Servative upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thrivent Moderately Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thrivent Moderately's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thrivent Moderately's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thrivent Moderately historical prices to predict the future Thrivent Moderately's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7413.1413.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7313.1313.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7913.1913.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1113.2013.28
Details

Thrivent Moderately Backtested Returns

Thrivent Moderately owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0506, which indicates the fund had a -0.0506 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Thrivent Moderately Servative exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Thrivent Moderately's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), coefficient of variation of (1,960), and Variance of 0.1633 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.24, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Thrivent Moderately's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Thrivent Moderately is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.41  

Modest reverse predictability

Thrivent Moderately Servative has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thrivent Moderately time series from 31st of January 2025 to 15th of February 2025 and 15th of February 2025 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thrivent Moderately price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Thrivent Moderately price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Thrivent Moderately lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thrivent Moderately mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thrivent Moderately's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thrivent Moderately returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thrivent Moderately has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thrivent Moderately regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thrivent Moderately mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thrivent Moderately mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thrivent Moderately mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thrivent Moderately Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thrivent Moderately's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thrivent Moderately mutual fund have on its future price. Thrivent Moderately autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thrivent Moderately autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thrivent Moderately mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thrivent Moderately Servative.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in THRIVENT Mutual Fund

Thrivent Moderately financial ratios help investors to determine whether THRIVENT Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in THRIVENT with respect to the benefits of owning Thrivent Moderately security.
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