PT Pelayaran (Indonesia) Market Value
| TAMU Stock | 15.00 1.00 7.14% |
| Symbol | TAMU |
PT Pelayaran 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PT Pelayaran's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PT Pelayaran.
| 03/12/2023 |
| 03/01/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PT Pelayaran on March 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PT Pelayaran Tamarin or generate 0.0% return on investment in PT Pelayaran over 720 days. PT Pelayaran is related to or competes with Dharma Polimetal, Equity Development, Kedawung Setia, Alumindo Light, and Capital Financial. More
PT Pelayaran Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PT Pelayaran's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PT Pelayaran Tamarin upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 6.78 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0482 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.14 |
PT Pelayaran Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PT Pelayaran's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PT Pelayaran's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PT Pelayaran historical prices to predict the future PT Pelayaran's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.042 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2046 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3669 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0349 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.55) |
PT Pelayaran Tamarin Backtested Returns
As of now, TAMU Stock is somewhat reliable. PT Pelayaran Tamarin retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which implies the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for PT Pelayaran, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check PT Pelayaran's market risk adjusted performance of (0.54), and Standard Deviation of 4.91 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0067%. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.39, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PT Pelayaran are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PT Pelayaran is likely to outperform the market. PT Pelayaran Tamarin at this moment owns a risk of 4.85%. Please check PT Pelayaran Tamarin market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if PT Pelayaran Tamarin will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | -0.57 |
Good reverse predictability
PT Pelayaran Tamarin has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PT Pelayaran time series from 12th of March 2023 to 6th of March 2024 and 6th of March 2024 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PT Pelayaran Tamarin price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current PT Pelayaran price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.57 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.35 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 49.32 |
PT Pelayaran Tamarin lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PT Pelayaran stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PT Pelayaran's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PT Pelayaran returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PT Pelayaran has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PT Pelayaran regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PT Pelayaran stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PT Pelayaran stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PT Pelayaran stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PT Pelayaran Lagged Returns
When evaluating PT Pelayaran's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PT Pelayaran stock have on its future price. PT Pelayaran autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PT Pelayaran autocorrelation shows the relationship between PT Pelayaran stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PT Pelayaran Tamarin.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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PT Pelayaran financial ratios help investors to determine whether TAMU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TAMU with respect to the benefits of owning PT Pelayaran security.