Smead International Value Fund Market Value

SVXCX Fund  USD 52.51  0.10  0.19%   
Smead International's market value is the price at which a share of Smead International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Smead International Value investors about its performance. Smead International is trading at 52.51 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.19 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 52.41.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Smead International Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Smead International over a given investment horizon. Check out Smead International Correlation, Smead International Volatility and Smead International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Smead International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Smead International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smead International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smead International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Smead International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Smead International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Smead International.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Smead International on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Smead International Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Smead International over 30 days. Smead International is related to or competes with Transamerica Emerging, Investec Emerging, Vy Jpmorgan, Pnc Emerging, Black Oak, Franklin Emerging, and Ep Emerging. Under normal market circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in the stock of non-U.S More

Smead International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Smead International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Smead International Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Smead International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Smead International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Smead International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Smead International historical prices to predict the future Smead International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smead International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.5552.5153.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.9652.9253.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.0552.0152.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51.8553.9856.12
Details

Smead International Value Backtested Returns

Smead International Value owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0152, which indicates the fund had a -0.0152% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Smead International Value exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Smead International's Variance of 0.933, coefficient of variation of (9,346), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0081, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Smead International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Smead International is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

Smead International Value has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Smead International time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Smead International Value price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Smead International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Smead International Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Smead International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Smead International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Smead International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Smead International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Smead International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Smead International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Smead International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Smead International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Smead International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Smead International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Smead International mutual fund have on its future price. Smead International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Smead International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Smead International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Smead International Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Smead Mutual Fund

Smead International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Smead Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Smead with respect to the benefits of owning Smead International security.
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