Small Cap Value Profund Fund Market Value

SVPSX Fund  USD 83.17  0.23  0.28%   
Small-cap Value's market value is the price at which a share of Small-cap Value trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Small Cap Value Profund investors about its performance. Small-cap Value is trading at 83.17 as of the 26th of February 2025; that is 0.28 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 82.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Small Cap Value Profund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Small-cap Value over a given investment horizon. Check out Small-cap Value Correlation, Small-cap Value Volatility and Small-cap Value Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Small-cap Value.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Small-cap Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Small-cap Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Small-cap Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Small-cap Value 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Small-cap Value's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Small-cap Value.
0.00
01/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Small-cap Value on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Small Cap Value Profund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Small-cap Value over 30 days. Small-cap Value is related to or competes with Us Government, Ab Municipal, Access Capital, Bbh Intermediate, and Inverse Government. The investment seeks investment results, before fees and expenses, that track the performance of the SP SmallCap 600 Val... More

Small-cap Value Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Small-cap Value's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Small Cap Value Profund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Small-cap Value Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Small-cap Value's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Small-cap Value's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Small-cap Value historical prices to predict the future Small-cap Value's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Small-cap Value's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.1583.1784.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.5177.5391.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.3783.3984.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.7585.2887.81
Details

Small Cap Value Backtested Returns

Small Cap Value owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.17, which indicates the fund had a -0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Small Cap Value Profund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Small-cap Value's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13), variance of 1.04, and Coefficient Of Variation of (574.19) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.12, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Small-cap Value are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Small-cap Value is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

Small Cap Value Profund has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Small-cap Value time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Small Cap Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Small-cap Value price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.48

Small Cap Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Small-cap Value mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Small-cap Value's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Small-cap Value returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Small-cap Value has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Small-cap Value regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Small-cap Value mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Small-cap Value mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Small-cap Value mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Small-cap Value Lagged Returns

When evaluating Small-cap Value's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Small-cap Value mutual fund have on its future price. Small-cap Value autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Small-cap Value autocorrelation shows the relationship between Small-cap Value mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Small Cap Value Profund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Small-cap Mutual Fund

Small-cap Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Small-cap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Small-cap with respect to the benefits of owning Small-cap Value security.
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