Deutsche Small Cap Fund Market Value

SSDSX Fund  USD 38.51  0.12  0.31%   
Deutsche Small's market value is the price at which a share of Deutsche Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Deutsche Small Cap investors about its performance. Deutsche Small is trading at 38.51 as of the 5th of December 2024; that is 0.31 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 38.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Deutsche Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Deutsche Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Deutsche Small Correlation, Deutsche Small Volatility and Deutsche Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Deutsche Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Deutsche Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deutsche Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deutsche Small.
0.00
12/16/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Deutsche Small on December 16, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deutsche Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deutsche Small over 720 days. Deutsche Small is related to or competes with Ivy Science, Science Technology, Pgim Jennison, Mfs Technology, Blackrock Science, and Firsthand Technology. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets, determined at the time of purchase, in stocks and other securities w... More

Deutsche Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deutsche Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deutsche Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Deutsche Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deutsche Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deutsche Small historical prices to predict the future Deutsche Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deutsche Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4438.5139.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.9638.0339.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.6338.7039.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.3338.0638.79
Details

Deutsche Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Deutsche Mutual Fund to be very steady. Deutsche Small Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which denotes the fund had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Deutsche Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Deutsche Small's Downside Deviation of 1.02, mean deviation of 0.8186, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1260.17 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.2, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.01  

Very weak reverse predictability

Deutsche Small Cap has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deutsche Small time series from 16th of December 2022 to 11th of December 2023 and 11th of December 2023 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deutsche Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Deutsche Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.19

Deutsche Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Deutsche Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deutsche Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deutsche Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deutsche Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deutsche Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deutsche Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deutsche Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Deutsche Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deutsche Small mutual fund have on its future price. Deutsche Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deutsche Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deutsche Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deutsche Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Small security.
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