California Municipal Portfolio Fund Market Value

SNCAX Fund  USD 13.92  0.02  0.14%   
California Municipal's market value is the price at which a share of California Municipal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of California Municipal Portfolio investors about its performance. California Municipal is trading at 13.92 as of the 27th of February 2025; that is 0.14 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of California Municipal Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in California Municipal over a given investment horizon. Check out California Municipal Correlation, California Municipal Volatility and California Municipal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on California Municipal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between California Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if California Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, California Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

California Municipal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to California Municipal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of California Municipal.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in California Municipal on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding California Municipal Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in California Municipal over 30 days. California Municipal is related to or competes with Goldman Sachs, Dodge Cox, Pace International, Mondrian Emerging, Ashmore Emerging, and The Hartford. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in a portfolio of municipal securities issued by the State of Cal... More

California Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure California Municipal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess California Municipal Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

California Municipal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for California Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as California Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use California Municipal historical prices to predict the future California Municipal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.7413.9214.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7113.8914.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.7713.9414.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.8013.8613.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as California Municipal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against California Municipal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, California Municipal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in California Municipal.

California Municipal Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider California Mutual Fund to be very steady. California Municipal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for California Municipal Portfolio, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm California Municipal's Mean Deviation of 0.1265, downside deviation of 0.237, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0192 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0014%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0508, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, California Municipal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding California Municipal is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.80  

Very good predictability

California Municipal Portfolio has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between California Municipal time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of California Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current California Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.8
Spearman Rank Test0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

California Municipal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is California Municipal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting California Municipal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of California Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that California Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

California Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If California Municipal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if California Municipal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in California Municipal mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

California Municipal Lagged Returns

When evaluating California Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of California Municipal mutual fund have on its future price. California Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, California Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between California Municipal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in California Municipal Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in California Mutual Fund

California Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether California Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in California with respect to the benefits of owning California Municipal security.
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