Siloam International (Indonesia) Market Value
| SILO Stock | IDR 2,510 20.00 0.79% |
| Symbol | Siloam |
Siloam International 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Siloam International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Siloam International.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Siloam International on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Siloam International Hospitals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Siloam International over 90 days. Siloam International is related to or competes with Mitra Keluarga, Matahari Department, Surya Citra, Sawit Sumbermas, and Lippo Karawaci. PT Siloam International Hospitals Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides healthcare services in Indonesia More
Siloam International Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Siloam International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Siloam International Hospitals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.03 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.25) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.4 |
Siloam International Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Siloam International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Siloam International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Siloam International historical prices to predict the future Siloam International's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.14 |
Siloam International Backtested Returns
Siloam International owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which indicates the firm had a -0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Siloam International Hospitals exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Siloam International's Coefficient Of Variation of (610.07), risk adjusted performance of (0.14), and Variance of 3.41 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.15, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Siloam International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Siloam International is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Siloam International has a negative expected return of -0.3%. Please make sure to validate Siloam International's value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Siloam International performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.71 |
Good predictability
Siloam International Hospitals has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Siloam International time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Siloam International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Siloam International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.71 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.28 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16 K |
Siloam International lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Siloam International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Siloam International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Siloam International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Siloam International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Siloam International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Siloam International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Siloam International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Siloam International stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Siloam International Lagged Returns
When evaluating Siloam International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Siloam International stock have on its future price. Siloam International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Siloam International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Siloam International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Siloam International Hospitals.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Siloam International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siloam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siloam with respect to the benefits of owning Siloam International security.