Semper Mbs Total Fund Market Value
| SEMMX Fund | USD 8.54 0.01 0.12% |
| Symbol | Semper |
Semper Mbs 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Semper Mbs' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Semper Mbs.
| 07/02/2024 |
| 12/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Semper Mbs on July 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Semper Mbs Total or generate 0.0% return on investment in Semper Mbs over 180 days. Semper Mbs is related to or competes with Semper Short, and Semper Short. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in mortgage-backed securities More
Semper Mbs Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Semper Mbs' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Semper Mbs Total upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.1854 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3529 |
Semper Mbs Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Semper Mbs' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Semper Mbs' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Semper Mbs historical prices to predict the future Semper Mbs' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0707 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0135 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0085 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.85) |
Semper Mbs Total Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Semper Mutual Fund to be very steady. Semper Mbs Total owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0834, which indicates the fund had a 0.0834% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Semper Mbs Total, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Semper Mbs' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0707, standard deviation of 0.1759, and Downside Deviation of 0.1854 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.013%. The entity has a beta of -0.0047, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Semper Mbs are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Semper Mbs is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.82 |
Very good predictability
Semper Mbs Total has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Semper Mbs time series from 2nd of July 2024 to 30th of September 2024 and 30th of September 2024 to 29th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Semper Mbs Total price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Semper Mbs price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.82 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.83 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Semper Mbs Total lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Semper Mbs mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Semper Mbs' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Semper Mbs returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Semper Mbs has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Semper Mbs regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Semper Mbs mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Semper Mbs mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Semper Mbs mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Semper Mbs Lagged Returns
When evaluating Semper Mbs' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Semper Mbs mutual fund have on its future price. Semper Mbs autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Semper Mbs autocorrelation shows the relationship between Semper Mbs mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Semper Mbs Total.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Semper Mutual Fund
Semper Mbs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Semper Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Semper with respect to the benefits of owning Semper Mbs security.
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