Moderately Aggressive Balanced Fund Market Value

SAMAX Fund  USD 11.30  0.10  0.88%   
Moderately Aggressive's market value is the price at which a share of Moderately Aggressive trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Moderately Aggressive Balanced investors about its performance. Moderately Aggressive is trading at 11.30 as of the 15th of March 2025; that is 0.88% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Moderately Aggressive Balanced and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Moderately Aggressive over a given investment horizon. Check out Moderately Aggressive Correlation, Moderately Aggressive Volatility and Moderately Aggressive Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Moderately Aggressive.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Moderately Aggressive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moderately Aggressive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moderately Aggressive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Moderately Aggressive 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Moderately Aggressive's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Moderately Aggressive.
0.00
12/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/15/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Moderately Aggressive on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Moderately Aggressive Balanced or generate 0.0% return on investment in Moderately Aggressive over 90 days. Moderately Aggressive is related to or competes with Biotechnology Ultrasector, Health Biotchnology, Vanguard Information, Goldman Sachs, Janus Global, and Towpath Technology. The Portfolios main investment strategy is to invest in other Saratoga Advantage Trust mutual funds andor unaffiliated r... More

Moderately Aggressive Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Moderately Aggressive's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Moderately Aggressive Balanced upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Moderately Aggressive Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Moderately Aggressive's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Moderately Aggressive's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Moderately Aggressive historical prices to predict the future Moderately Aggressive's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6011.3012.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9010.6011.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5411.2411.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2611.7712.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Moderately Aggressive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Moderately Aggressive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Moderately Aggressive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Moderately Aggressive.

Moderately Aggressive Backtested Returns

Moderately Aggressive has Sharpe Ratio of -0.16, which conveys that the entity had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Moderately Aggressive exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Moderately Aggressive's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17), mean deviation of 0.5738, and Standard Deviation of 0.7206 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Moderately Aggressive are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Moderately Aggressive is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.6  

Good reverse predictability

Moderately Aggressive Balanced has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Moderately Aggressive time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Moderately Aggressive price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Moderately Aggressive price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.6
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Moderately Aggressive lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Moderately Aggressive mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Moderately Aggressive's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Moderately Aggressive returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Moderately Aggressive has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Moderately Aggressive regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Moderately Aggressive mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Moderately Aggressive mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Moderately Aggressive mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Moderately Aggressive Lagged Returns

When evaluating Moderately Aggressive's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Moderately Aggressive mutual fund have on its future price. Moderately Aggressive autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Moderately Aggressive autocorrelation shows the relationship between Moderately Aggressive mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Moderately Aggressive Balanced.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Moderately Mutual Fund

Moderately Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moderately Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moderately with respect to the benefits of owning Moderately Aggressive security.
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