Inverse Government Long Fund Market Value

RYAQX Fund  USD 180.31  1.11  0.61%   
Inverse Government's market value is the price at which a share of Inverse Government trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Inverse Government Long investors about its performance. Inverse Government is trading at 180.31 as of the 16th of March 2025; that is 0.61% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 181.42.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Inverse Government Long and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Inverse Government over a given investment horizon. Check out Inverse Government Correlation, Inverse Government Volatility and Inverse Government Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inverse Government.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Inverse Government's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inverse Government is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inverse Government's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Inverse Government 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Inverse Government's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Inverse Government.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Inverse Government on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Inverse Government Long or generate 0.0% return on investment in Inverse Government over 90 days. Inverse Government is related to or competes with Fidelity Convertible, Lord Abbett, Absolute Convertible, Virtus Convertible, Harbor Convertible, and Lazard Funds. The fund employs as its investment strategy a program of engaging in short sales and investing to a significant extent i... More

Inverse Government Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Inverse Government's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Inverse Government Long upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Inverse Government Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Inverse Government's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Inverse Government's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Inverse Government historical prices to predict the future Inverse Government's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
179.51180.31181.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
178.59179.39198.34
Details

Inverse Government Long Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Inverse Mutual Fund to be very steady. Inverse Government Long holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of close to zero, which attests that the entity had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Inverse Government Long, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Inverse Government's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0791, market risk adjusted performance of 0.5652, and Downside Deviation of 0.8747 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0043%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Inverse Government's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Inverse Government is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.47  

Modest reverse predictability

Inverse Government Long has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Inverse Government time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Inverse Government Long price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Inverse Government price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.47
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.37

Inverse Government Long lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Inverse Government mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Inverse Government's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Inverse Government returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Inverse Government has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Inverse Government regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Inverse Government mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Inverse Government mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Inverse Government mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Inverse Government Lagged Returns

When evaluating Inverse Government's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Inverse Government mutual fund have on its future price. Inverse Government autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Inverse Government autocorrelation shows the relationship between Inverse Government mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Inverse Government Long.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Inverse Mutual Fund

Inverse Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inverse Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inverse with respect to the benefits of owning Inverse Government security.
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