River Financial Stock Market Value
| RVRF Stock | USD 30.74 0.44 1.45% |
| Symbol | River |
River Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to River Financial's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of River Financial.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in River Financial on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding River Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in River Financial over 90 days. River Financial is related to or competes with Potomac Bancshares, Mountain Pacific, Pacific Premier, Old National, German American, First Merchants, and Mercantile Bank. River Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for the River Bank Trust that provides various financia... More
River Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure River Financial's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess River Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.0601 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.13 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.77 |
River Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for River Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as River Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use River Financial historical prices to predict the future River Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0052 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1989 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1091 |
River Financial Backtested Returns
At this point, River Financial is very steady. River Financial maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of close to zero, which implies the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for River Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check River Financial's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0052, variance of 2.76, and Coefficient Of Variation of 189769.6 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 9.0E-4%. The company holds a Beta of -0.0836, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning River Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, River Financial is likely to outperform the market. River Financial right now holds a risk of 1.66%. Please check River Financial variance, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if River Financial will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.03 |
Very weak reverse predictability
River Financial has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between River Financial time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of River Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current River Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.42 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.39 |
River Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is River Financial pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting River Financial's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of River Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that River Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
River Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If River Financial pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if River Financial pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in River Financial pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
River Financial Lagged Returns
When evaluating River Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of River Financial pink sheet have on its future price. River Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, River Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between River Financial pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in River Financial.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in River Pink Sheet
River Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether River Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in River with respect to the benefits of owning River Financial security.