RFM Corp (Philippines) Market Value

RFM Stock   3.89  0.07  1.83%   
RFM Corp's market value is the price at which a share of RFM Corp trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of RFM Corp investors about its performance. RFM Corp is trading at 3.89 as of the 22nd of December 2024, a 1.83% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.85.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of RFM Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in RFM Corp over a given investment horizon. Check out RFM Corp Correlation, RFM Corp Volatility and RFM Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on RFM Corp.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between RFM Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RFM Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RFM Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

RFM Corp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to RFM Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of RFM Corp.
0.00
06/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in RFM Corp on June 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding RFM Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in RFM Corp over 180 days. RFM Corp is related to or competes with Century Pacific, Axelum Resources, DDMP REIT, Metro Retail, VistaREIT, and Easycall Communications. More

RFM Corp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure RFM Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess RFM Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

RFM Corp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for RFM Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as RFM Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use RFM Corp historical prices to predict the future RFM Corp's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.693.895.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.023.224.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.663.865.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.793.873.95
Details

RFM Corp Backtested Returns

At this point, RFM Corp is somewhat reliable. RFM Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0841, which implies the firm had a 0.0841% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for RFM Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check RFM Corp's semi deviation of 0.9697, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0695 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. RFM Corp has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.21, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning RFM Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, RFM Corp is likely to outperform the market. RFM Corp currently holds a risk of 1.2%. Please check RFM Corp semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if RFM Corp will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

RFM Corp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between RFM Corp time series from 25th of June 2024 to 23rd of September 2024 and 23rd of September 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of RFM Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current RFM Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

RFM Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is RFM Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting RFM Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of RFM Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that RFM Corp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

RFM Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If RFM Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if RFM Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in RFM Corp stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

RFM Corp Lagged Returns

When evaluating RFM Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of RFM Corp stock have on its future price. RFM Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, RFM Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between RFM Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in RFM Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in RFM Stock

RFM Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether RFM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RFM with respect to the benefits of owning RFM Corp security.