Amcap Fund Class Fund Market Value

RAFGX Fund  USD 44.69  0.37  0.83%   
Amcap Fund's market value is the price at which a share of Amcap Fund trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amcap Fund Class investors about its performance. Amcap Fund is trading at 44.69 as of the 19th of January 2025; that is 0.83% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 44.32.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amcap Fund Class and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amcap Fund over a given investment horizon. Check out Amcap Fund Correlation, Amcap Fund Volatility and Amcap Fund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amcap Fund.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amcap Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amcap Fund is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amcap Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amcap Fund 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amcap Fund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amcap Fund.
0.00
11/26/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 1 month and 25 days
01/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amcap Fund on November 26, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amcap Fund Class or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amcap Fund over 420 days. Amcap Fund is related to or competes with Conservative Balanced, Wells Fargo, Stone Ridge, Guggenheim Diversified, Guidepath Conservative, Putnam Diversified, and Tiaa Cref. The fund invests primarily in common stocks of U.S More

Amcap Fund Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amcap Fund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amcap Fund Class upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amcap Fund Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amcap Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amcap Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amcap Fund historical prices to predict the future Amcap Fund's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.4944.6945.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.8145.0146.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.6145.8147.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.4444.1944.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amcap Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amcap Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amcap Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amcap Fund Class.

Amcap Fund Class Backtested Returns

Amcap Fund Class secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0294, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0294% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Amcap Fund Class exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Amcap Fund's mean deviation of 0.7739, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.59, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Amcap Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amcap Fund is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Amcap Fund Class has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amcap Fund time series from 26th of November 2023 to 23rd of June 2024 and 23rd of June 2024 to 19th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amcap Fund Class price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Amcap Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.46

Amcap Fund Class lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amcap Fund mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amcap Fund's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amcap Fund returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amcap Fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amcap Fund regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amcap Fund mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amcap Fund mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amcap Fund mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amcap Fund Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amcap Fund's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amcap Fund mutual fund have on its future price. Amcap Fund autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amcap Fund autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amcap Fund mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amcap Fund Class.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Amcap Mutual Fund

Amcap Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amcap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amcap with respect to the benefits of owning Amcap Fund security.
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