Short Term Bond Fund Market Value
| RAAEX Fund | USD 9.50 0.01 0.11% |
| Symbol | Short-term |
Short-term Bond 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Short-term Bond's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Short-term Bond.
| 12/11/2024 |
| 01/10/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Short-term Bond on December 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Short Term Bond Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Short-term Bond over 30 days. Short-term Bond is related to or competes with Transamerica Mlp, World Energy, Salient Mlp, Adams Natural, Jennison Natural, and Pimco Energy. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its assets in bonds More
Short-term Bond Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Short-term Bond's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Short Term Bond Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.27) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.6322 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2101 |
Short-term Bond Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Short-term Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Short-term Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Short-term Bond historical prices to predict the future Short-term Bond's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7906 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Short-term Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Short Term Bond Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Short-term Mutual Fund to be very steady. Short Term Bond owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0163, which indicates the fund had a 0.0163% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Short Term Bond Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Short-term Bond's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), variance of 0.0145, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,557) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0018%. The entity has a beta of -0.0186, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Short-term Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Short-term Bond is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.35 |
Poor reverse predictability
Short Term Bond Fund has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Short-term Bond time series from 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024 and 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Short Term Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Short-term Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.35 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.12 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Short Term Bond lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Short-term Bond mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Short-term Bond's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Short-term Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Short-term Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Short-term Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Short-term Bond mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Short-term Bond mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Short-term Bond mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Short-term Bond Lagged Returns
When evaluating Short-term Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Short-term Bond mutual fund have on its future price. Short-term Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Short-term Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between Short-term Bond mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Short Term Bond Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Short-term Mutual Fund
Short-term Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Short-term Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Short-term with respect to the benefits of owning Short-term Bond security.
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