Potomac Bancshares Stock Market Value
| PTBS Stock | USD 15.50 0.39 2.45% |
| Symbol | Potomac |
Potomac Bancshares 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Potomac Bancshares' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Potomac Bancshares.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Potomac Bancshares on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Potomac Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in Potomac Bancshares over 90 days. Potomac Bancshares is related to or competes with Apollo Bancorp, Farmers Bank, Community Bankers, CCSB Financial, Bank of Utica, Delhi Bank, and River Financial. Potomac Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Bank of Charles Town that provides various banking pro... More
Potomac Bancshares Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Potomac Bancshares' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Potomac Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.0025 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.08) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.66 |
Potomac Bancshares Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Potomac Bancshares' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Potomac Bancshares' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Potomac Bancshares historical prices to predict the future Potomac Bancshares' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1939 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 3.85 |
Potomac Bancshares Backtested Returns
Potomac Bancshares maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0149, which implies the firm had a -0.0149 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Potomac Bancshares exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Potomac Bancshares' Coefficient Of Variation of (2,548), variance of 5.62, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0268, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Potomac Bancshares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Potomac Bancshares is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Potomac Bancshares has a negative expected return of -0.0361%. Please make sure to check Potomac Bancshares' value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and price action indicator , to decide if Potomac Bancshares performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.37 |
Below average predictability
Potomac Bancshares has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Potomac Bancshares time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Potomac Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Potomac Bancshares price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.37 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.2 |
Potomac Bancshares lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Potomac Bancshares pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Potomac Bancshares' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Potomac Bancshares returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Potomac Bancshares has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Potomac Bancshares regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Potomac Bancshares pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Potomac Bancshares pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Potomac Bancshares pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Potomac Bancshares Lagged Returns
When evaluating Potomac Bancshares' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Potomac Bancshares pink sheet have on its future price. Potomac Bancshares autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Potomac Bancshares autocorrelation shows the relationship between Potomac Bancshares pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Potomac Bancshares.
Regressed Prices |
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Additional Tools for Potomac Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Potomac Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure Potomac Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Potomac Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Potomac Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Potomac Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Potomac Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Potomac Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.