THE PHILIPPINE (Philippines) Market Value

PSEI Index   6,703  104.27  1.53%   
THE PHILIPPINE's market value is the price at which a share of THE PHILIPPINE trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of THE PHILIPPINE STOCK investors about its performance. THE PHILIPPINE is enlisted at 6702.59 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 1.53 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The index's open price was 6806.86.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of THE PHILIPPINE STOCK and determine expected loss or profit from investing in THE PHILIPPINE over a given investment horizon. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any index could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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THE PHILIPPINE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to THE PHILIPPINE's index what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of THE PHILIPPINE.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in THE PHILIPPINE on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding THE PHILIPPINE STOCK or generate 0.0% return on investment in THE PHILIPPINE over 30 days.

THE PHILIPPINE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure THE PHILIPPINE's index current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess THE PHILIPPINE STOCK upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

THE PHILIPPINE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for THE PHILIPPINE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as THE PHILIPPINE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use THE PHILIPPINE historical prices to predict the future THE PHILIPPINE's volatility.

THE PHILIPPINE STOCK Backtested Returns

THE PHILIPPINE STOCK owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0347, which indicates the index had a -0.0347% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. THE PHILIPPINE STOCK exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. The entity has a beta of 0.0, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and THE PHILIPPINE are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.18  

Insignificant reverse predictability

THE PHILIPPINE STOCK has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between THE PHILIPPINE time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of THE PHILIPPINE STOCK price movement. The serial correlation of -0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current THE PHILIPPINE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.18
Spearman Rank Test-0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance11.1 K

THE PHILIPPINE STOCK lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is THE PHILIPPINE index's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting THE PHILIPPINE's index expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of THE PHILIPPINE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that THE PHILIPPINE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the index is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

THE PHILIPPINE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If THE PHILIPPINE index is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if THE PHILIPPINE index is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in THE PHILIPPINE index over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

THE PHILIPPINE Lagged Returns

When evaluating THE PHILIPPINE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of THE PHILIPPINE index have on its future price. THE PHILIPPINE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, THE PHILIPPINE autocorrelation shows the relationship between THE PHILIPPINE index current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in THE PHILIPPINE STOCK.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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