Douglas Dynamics Stock Market Value

PLOW Stock  USD 23.70  0.33  1.37%   
Douglas Dynamics' market value is the price at which a share of Douglas Dynamics trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Douglas Dynamics investors about its performance. Douglas Dynamics is selling for under 23.70 as of the 22nd of March 2025; that is 1.37 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 23.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Douglas Dynamics and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Douglas Dynamics over a given investment horizon. Check out Douglas Dynamics Correlation, Douglas Dynamics Volatility and Douglas Dynamics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Douglas Dynamics.
For more information on how to buy Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Dynamics guide.
Symbol

Douglas Dynamics Price To Book Ratio

2.884.004.884.183.492.942.062.1939%22%-14%-17%-16%-30%6%100%
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Douglas Dynamics. If investors know Douglas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Douglas Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.133
Dividend Share
1.18
Earnings Share
2.36
Revenue Per Share
24.639
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
The market value of Douglas Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Douglas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Douglas Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Douglas Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Douglas Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Douglas Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Douglas Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Douglas Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Douglas Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Douglas Dynamics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Douglas Dynamics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Douglas Dynamics.
0.00
12/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/22/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Douglas Dynamics on December 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Douglas Dynamics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Douglas Dynamics over 90 days. Douglas Dynamics is related to or competes with Monro Muffler, Motorcar Parts, Standard, Stoneridge, Dorman Products, Visteon Corp, and Lear. Douglas Dynamics, Inc. operates as a manufacturer and upfitter of commercial work truck attachments and equipment in Nor... More

Douglas Dynamics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Douglas Dynamics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Douglas Dynamics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Douglas Dynamics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Douglas Dynamics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Douglas Dynamics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Douglas Dynamics historical prices to predict the future Douglas Dynamics' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.0523.6725.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.3328.3729.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.5823.2024.81
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.4232.3335.89
Details

Douglas Dynamics Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Douglas Stock to be very steady. Douglas Dynamics secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0237, which denotes the company had a 0.0237 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Douglas Dynamics, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Douglas Dynamics' Standard Deviation of 1.59, mean deviation of 1.21, and Variance of 2.54 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0383%. Douglas Dynamics has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.74, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Douglas Dynamics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Douglas Dynamics is expected to be smaller as well. Douglas Dynamics right now shows a risk of 1.62%. Please confirm Douglas Dynamics value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Douglas Dynamics will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.39  

Poor reverse predictability

Douglas Dynamics has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Douglas Dynamics time series from 22nd of December 2024 to 5th of February 2025 and 5th of February 2025 to 22nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Douglas Dynamics price movement. The serial correlation of -0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Douglas Dynamics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.39
Spearman Rank Test-0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.7
Douglas ReturnsDouglas Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayDouglas ReturnsDouglas Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Douglas Dynamics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Douglas Dynamics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Douglas Dynamics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Douglas Dynamics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Douglas Dynamics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15FebFeb 10Feb 15Feb 20Feb 25MarMar 07Mar 12Mar 17-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%10% 50100200300400500600700800900
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

Douglas Dynamics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Douglas Dynamics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Douglas Dynamics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Douglas Dynamics stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15FebFeb 10Feb 15Feb 20Feb 25MarMar 07Mar 12Mar 1723.023.524.024.525.025.526.0
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

Douglas Dynamics Lagged Returns

When evaluating Douglas Dynamics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Douglas Dynamics stock have on its future price. Douglas Dynamics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Douglas Dynamics autocorrelation shows the relationship between Douglas Dynamics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Douglas Dynamics.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152025FebMar23.023.524.024.525.025.526.026.527.0
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Douglas Stock Analysis

When running Douglas Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure Douglas Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Douglas Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of Douglas Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Douglas Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Douglas Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Douglas Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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