Riskproreg 30 Fund Market Value

PFSEX Fund  USD 14.22  0.03  0.21%   
Riskproreg's market value is the price at which a share of Riskproreg trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Riskproreg 30 Fund investors about its performance. Riskproreg is trading at 14.22 as of the 21st of December 2024; that is 0.21% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Riskproreg 30 Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Riskproreg over a given investment horizon. Check out Riskproreg Correlation, Riskproreg Volatility and Riskproreg Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Riskproreg.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Riskproreg's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Riskproreg is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Riskproreg's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Riskproreg 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Riskproreg's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Riskproreg.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Riskproreg on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Riskproreg 30 Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Riskproreg over 30 days. Riskproreg is related to or competes with Ab Global, Dreyfusstandish Global, 361 Global, Siit Global, Morningstar Global, and Barings Global. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing more than 80 percent of the funds assets in shares of mu... More

Riskproreg Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Riskproreg's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Riskproreg 30 Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Riskproreg Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Riskproreg's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Riskproreg's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Riskproreg historical prices to predict the future Riskproreg's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Riskproreg's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5614.2514.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4914.1814.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.2913.9814.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2914.6915.09
Details

Riskproreg 30 Backtested Returns

Riskproreg 30 maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0077, which implies the entity had a -0.0077% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Riskproreg 30 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Riskproreg's Semi Deviation of 0.6996, risk adjusted performance of 0.0242, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3137.56 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0964, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Riskproreg's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Riskproreg is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.86  

Excellent reverse predictability

Riskproreg 30 Fund has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Riskproreg time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Riskproreg 30 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Riskproreg price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.86
Spearman Rank Test-0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Riskproreg 30 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Riskproreg mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Riskproreg's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Riskproreg returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Riskproreg has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Riskproreg regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Riskproreg mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Riskproreg mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Riskproreg mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Riskproreg Lagged Returns

When evaluating Riskproreg's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Riskproreg mutual fund have on its future price. Riskproreg autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Riskproreg autocorrelation shows the relationship between Riskproreg mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Riskproreg 30 Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Riskproreg Mutual Fund

Riskproreg financial ratios help investors to determine whether Riskproreg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Riskproreg with respect to the benefits of owning Riskproreg security.
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