Pfizer (Germany) Market Value
| PFE Stock | EUR 25.92 0.08 0.31% |
| Symbol | Pfizer |
Pfizer 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pfizer's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pfizer.
| 12/07/2024 |
| 01/06/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Pfizer on December 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pfizer Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pfizer over 30 days. Pfizer is related to or competes with PLAYWAY SA, Axway Software, Magic Software, Aristocrat Leisure, and Playtech Plc. More
Pfizer Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pfizer's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pfizer Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.38 |
Pfizer Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pfizer's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pfizer's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pfizer historical prices to predict the future Pfizer's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0157 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0116 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) |
Pfizer Inc Backtested Returns
Pfizer Inc maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0076, which implies the firm had a -0.0076% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pfizer Inc exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pfizer's Coefficient Of Variation of 7293.51, semi deviation of 1.48, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0157 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0739, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pfizer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pfizer is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Pfizer Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0114%. Please make sure to check Pfizer's standard deviation, treynor ratio, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk , to decide if Pfizer Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.73 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Pfizer Inc has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pfizer time series from 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024 and 22nd of December 2024 to 6th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pfizer Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Pfizer price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.73 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Pfizer Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Pfizer stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pfizer's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pfizer returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pfizer has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Pfizer regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pfizer stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pfizer stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pfizer stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Pfizer Lagged Returns
When evaluating Pfizer's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pfizer stock have on its future price. Pfizer autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pfizer autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pfizer stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pfizer Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Pfizer Stock
When determining whether Pfizer Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pfizer's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pfizer's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pfizer Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Pfizer Correlation, Pfizer Volatility and Pfizer Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pfizer. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Pfizer technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.