Performa Real (Brazil) Market Value

PEMA11 Fund   30.50  0.50  1.67%   
Performa Real's market value is the price at which a share of Performa Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Performa Real Estate investors about its performance. Performa Real is trading at 30.50 as of the 17th of December 2024, a 1.67% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 30.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Performa Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Performa Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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Performa Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Performa Real's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Performa Real.
0.00
11/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/17/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Performa Real on November 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Performa Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Performa Real over 30 days.

Performa Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Performa Real's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Performa Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Performa Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Performa Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Performa Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Performa Real historical prices to predict the future Performa Real's volatility.

Performa Real Estate Backtested Returns

Performa Real appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Performa Real Estate maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0475, which implies the entity had a 0.0475% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Performa Real Estate, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please evaluate Performa Real's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0433, semi deviation of 3.96, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2079.2 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund holds a Beta of -0.86, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Performa Real are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Performa Real is expected to outperform it slightly.

Auto-correlation

    
  Huge  

Perfect predictability

Performa Real Estate has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Performa Real time series from 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024 and 2nd of December 2024 to 17th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Performa Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 9.223372036854776E16 indicates that 9.223372036854776E16% of current Performa Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient92233.7 T
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Performa Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Performa Real fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Performa Real's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Performa Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Performa Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Performa Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Performa Real fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Performa Real fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Performa Real fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Performa Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Performa Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Performa Real fund have on its future price. Performa Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Performa Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Performa Real fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Performa Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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