Pimco Commodityrealreturn Strategy Fund Market Value
| PCRNX Fund | USD 13.12 0.10 0.77% |
| Symbol | Pimco |
Pimco Commodityrealret 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pimco Commodityrealret's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pimco Commodityrealret.
| 12/08/2024 |
| 01/07/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Pimco Commodityrealret on December 8, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pimco Commodityrealreturn Strategy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pimco Commodityrealret over 30 days. Pimco Commodityrealret is related to or competes with Locorr Dynamic, Monteagle Enhanced, Aqr Long-short, Qs Global, Us Vector, Artisan Select, and Small Cap. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing under normal circumstances in commodity-linked derivativ... More
Pimco Commodityrealret Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pimco Commodityrealret's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pimco Commodityrealreturn Strategy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.14 |
Pimco Commodityrealret Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pimco Commodityrealret's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pimco Commodityrealret's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pimco Commodityrealret historical prices to predict the future Pimco Commodityrealret's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.53) |
Pimco Commodityrealret Backtested Returns
Pimco Commodityrealret maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -9.0E-4, which implies the entity had a -9.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pimco Commodityrealret exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pimco Commodityrealret's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,211), risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Variance of 0.5853 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0848, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pimco Commodityrealret's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pimco Commodityrealret is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.7 |
Very good reverse predictability
Pimco Commodityrealreturn Strategy has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pimco Commodityrealret time series from 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024 and 23rd of December 2024 to 7th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pimco Commodityrealret price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Pimco Commodityrealret price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.7 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.87 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Pimco Commodityrealret lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Pimco Commodityrealret mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pimco Commodityrealret's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pimco Commodityrealret returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pimco Commodityrealret has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Pimco Commodityrealret regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pimco Commodityrealret mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pimco Commodityrealret mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pimco Commodityrealret mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Pimco Commodityrealret Lagged Returns
When evaluating Pimco Commodityrealret's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pimco Commodityrealret mutual fund have on its future price. Pimco Commodityrealret autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pimco Commodityrealret autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pimco Commodityrealret mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pimco Commodityrealreturn Strategy.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund
Pimco Commodityrealret financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Commodityrealret security.
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