Rationalpier 88 Convertible Fund Market Value

PBXIX Fund  USD 11.21  0.05  0.45%   
Rationalpier's market value is the price at which a share of Rationalpier trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Rationalpier 88 Convertible investors about its performance. Rationalpier is trading at 11.21 as of the 5th of January 2025; that is 0.45 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Rationalpier 88 Convertible and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Rationalpier over a given investment horizon. Check out Rationalpier Correlation, Rationalpier Volatility and Rationalpier Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Rationalpier.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Rationalpier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rationalpier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rationalpier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Rationalpier 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Rationalpier's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Rationalpier.
0.00
11/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
01/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Rationalpier on November 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Rationalpier 88 Convertible or generate 0.0% return on investment in Rationalpier over 60 days. Rationalpier is related to or competes with Maryland Tax-free, Multisector Bond, Ab Global, National Tax, Versatile Bond, Blrc Sgy, and Ms Global. Under normal conditions, the fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing at least 80 percent of its net ... More

Rationalpier Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Rationalpier's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Rationalpier 88 Convertible upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Rationalpier Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rationalpier's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Rationalpier's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Rationalpier historical prices to predict the future Rationalpier's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6811.2111.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7311.2611.79
Details

Rationalpier 88 Conv Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Rationalpier Mutual Fund to be very steady. Rationalpier 88 Conv maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0216, which implies the entity had a 0.0216% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Rationalpier 88 Conv, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Rationalpier's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0027, semi deviation of 0.5137, and Coefficient Of Variation of 9599.31 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0113%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.15, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Rationalpier's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Rationalpier is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

Rationalpier 88 Convertible has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Rationalpier time series from 6th of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 5th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Rationalpier 88 Conv price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Rationalpier price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Rationalpier 88 Conv lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Rationalpier mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Rationalpier's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Rationalpier returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Rationalpier has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Rationalpier regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Rationalpier mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Rationalpier mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Rationalpier mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Rationalpier Lagged Returns

When evaluating Rationalpier's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Rationalpier mutual fund have on its future price. Rationalpier autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Rationalpier autocorrelation shows the relationship between Rationalpier mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Rationalpier 88 Convertible.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Rationalpier Mutual Fund

Rationalpier financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rationalpier Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rationalpier with respect to the benefits of owning Rationalpier security.
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