Pan Asia (Sri Lanka) Market Value

PABCN0000  LKR 31.20  0.40  1.30%   
Pan Asia's market value is the price at which a share of Pan Asia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pan Asia Banking investors about its performance. Pan Asia is trading at 31.20 as of the 27th of December 2024, a 1.30 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 30.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pan Asia Banking and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pan Asia over a given investment horizon. Check out Pan Asia Correlation, Pan Asia Volatility and Pan Asia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pan Asia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pan Asia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pan Asia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pan Asia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pan Asia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pan Asia's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pan Asia.
0.00
11/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pan Asia on November 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pan Asia Banking or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pan Asia over 30 days. More

Pan Asia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pan Asia's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pan Asia Banking upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pan Asia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pan Asia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pan Asia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pan Asia historical prices to predict the future Pan Asia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.2731.2033.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.6530.5832.51
Details

Pan Asia Banking Backtested Returns

Pan Asia appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Pan Asia Banking maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.3, which implies the firm had a 0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Pan Asia's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.57% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Pan Asia's Coefficient Of Variation of 281.44, semi deviation of 0.5999, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2883 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Pan Asia holds a performance score of 23. The company holds a Beta of -0.46, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pan Asia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pan Asia is likely to outperform the market. Please check Pan Asia's treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Pan Asia's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.37  

Below average predictability

Pan Asia Banking has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pan Asia time series from 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024 and 12th of December 2024 to 27th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pan Asia Banking price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Pan Asia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.37
Spearman Rank Test0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.98

Pan Asia Banking lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pan Asia stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pan Asia's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pan Asia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pan Asia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pan Asia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pan Asia stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pan Asia stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pan Asia stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pan Asia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pan Asia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pan Asia stock have on its future price. Pan Asia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pan Asia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pan Asia stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pan Asia Banking.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pan Stock

Pan Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pan with respect to the benefits of owning Pan Asia security.