Federated Ohio Municipal Fund Market Value

OMIAX Fund  USD 10.29  0.01  0.1%   
Federated Ohio's market value is the price at which a share of Federated Ohio trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Federated Ohio Municipal investors about its performance. Federated Ohio is trading at 10.29 as of the 15th of March 2025; that is 0.1 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Federated Ohio Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Federated Ohio over a given investment horizon. Check out Federated Ohio Correlation, Federated Ohio Volatility and Federated Ohio Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Federated Ohio.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated Ohio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federated Ohio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated Ohio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Federated Ohio 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Ohio's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Ohio.
0.00
12/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/15/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Federated Ohio on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Ohio Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Ohio over 90 days. Federated Ohio is related to or competes with Saat Conservative, Diversified Bond, Lord Abbett, Calvert Conservative, Voya Solution, and Delaware Limited. The fund pursues its objective by investing in a portfolio of tax-exempt securities so that, normally, distributions of ... More

Federated Ohio Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Ohio's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Ohio Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Federated Ohio Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Ohio's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Ohio's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Ohio historical prices to predict the future Federated Ohio's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0310.2910.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0310.2910.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Federated Ohio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Federated Ohio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Federated Ohio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Federated Ohio Municipal.

Federated Ohio Municipal Backtested Returns

Federated Ohio Municipal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0545, which denotes the fund had a -0.0545 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Federated Ohio Municipal exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Federated Ohio's Mean Deviation of 0.1918, variance of 0.0665, and Standard Deviation of 0.2578 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0142, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Federated Ohio are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Federated Ohio is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

Federated Ohio Municipal has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Ohio time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Ohio Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Federated Ohio price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Federated Ohio Municipal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Federated Ohio mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated Ohio's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated Ohio returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated Ohio has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Federated Ohio regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated Ohio mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated Ohio mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated Ohio mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Federated Ohio Lagged Returns

When evaluating Federated Ohio's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated Ohio mutual fund have on its future price. Federated Ohio autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated Ohio autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated Ohio mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated Ohio Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Ohio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Ohio security.
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