China International (Germany) Market Value

OCM Stock  EUR 0.62  0.01  1.64%   
China International's market value is the price at which a share of China International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China International Marine investors about its performance. China International is trading at 0.62 as of the 24th of December 2024. This is a 1.64 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China International Marine and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China International over a given investment horizon. Check out China International Correlation, China International Volatility and China International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China International.
0.00
11/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China International on November 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China International Marine or generate 0.0% return on investment in China International over 30 days. China International is related to or competes with Allegheny Technologies, Thyssenkrupp, Thyssenkrupp, Mueller Industries, and Carpenter Technology. China International Marine Containers Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells logistics and en... More

China International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China International Marine upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China International historical prices to predict the future China International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.625.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.665.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.625.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.420.620.82
Details

China International Backtested Returns

China International appears to be abnormally volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. China International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.056, which signifies that the company had a 0.056% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for China International Marine, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of China International's Downside Deviation of 3.41, mean deviation of 2.76, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0673 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, China International holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.59, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, China International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China International is expected to be smaller as well. Please check China International's standard deviation, treynor ratio, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether China International's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.27  

Weak reverse predictability

China International Marine has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China International time series from 24th of November 2024 to 9th of December 2024 and 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current China International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

China International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China International stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China International Lagged Returns

When evaluating China International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China International stock have on its future price. China International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China International autocorrelation shows the relationship between China International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China International Marine.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China International financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China International security.