Oberweis China Opportunities Fund Market Value

OCHIX Fund  USD 7.10  0.01  0.14%   
Oberweis China's market value is the price at which a share of Oberweis China trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oberweis China Opportunities investors about its performance. Oberweis China is trading at 7.10 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.14 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oberweis China Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oberweis China over a given investment horizon. Check out Oberweis China Correlation, Oberweis China Volatility and Oberweis China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oberweis China.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oberweis China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oberweis China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oberweis China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oberweis China 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oberweis China's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oberweis China.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oberweis China on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oberweis China Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oberweis China over 720 days. Oberweis China is related to or competes with Transamerica Emerging, T Rowe, Templeton Emerging, Commodities Strategy, T Rowe, and Rbc Emerging. The fund invests normally at least 80 percent of its net assets in China securities More

Oberweis China Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oberweis China's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oberweis China Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oberweis China Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oberweis China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oberweis China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oberweis China historical prices to predict the future Oberweis China's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.002.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.716.758.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.807.287.76
Details

Oberweis China Oppor Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider OBERWEIS Mutual Fund to be out of control. Oberweis China Oppor maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0672, which implies the entity had a 0.0672% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Oberweis China Oppor, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Oberweis China's Coefficient Of Variation of 1735.72, semi deviation of 2.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0503 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.28, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Oberweis China's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Oberweis China is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

Oberweis China Opportunities has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oberweis China time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oberweis China Oppor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Oberweis China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

Oberweis China Oppor lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oberweis China mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oberweis China's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oberweis China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oberweis China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oberweis China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oberweis China mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oberweis China mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oberweis China mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oberweis China Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oberweis China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oberweis China mutual fund have on its future price. Oberweis China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oberweis China autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oberweis China mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oberweis China Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in OBERWEIS Mutual Fund

Oberweis China financial ratios help investors to determine whether OBERWEIS Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OBERWEIS with respect to the benefits of owning Oberweis China security.
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