Orchestra Biomed Holdings Stock Market Value

OBIO Stock   5.62  0.11  2.00%   
Orchestra BioMed's market value is the price at which a share of Orchestra BioMed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Orchestra BioMed Holdings investors about its performance. Orchestra BioMed is selling at 5.62 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 2.00% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Orchestra BioMed Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Orchestra BioMed over a given investment horizon. Check out Orchestra BioMed Correlation, Orchestra BioMed Volatility and Orchestra BioMed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Orchestra BioMed.
Symbol

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Price To Book Ratio

Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orchestra BioMed. If investors know Orchestra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orchestra BioMed listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.60)
Revenue Per Share
0.073
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.356
Return On Assets
(0.39)
Return On Equity
(0.92)
The market value of Orchestra BioMed Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orchestra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orchestra BioMed's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orchestra BioMed's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orchestra BioMed's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orchestra BioMed's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orchestra BioMed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orchestra BioMed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orchestra BioMed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Orchestra BioMed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orchestra BioMed's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orchestra BioMed.
0.00
12/18/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Orchestra BioMed on December 18, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orchestra BioMed Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orchestra BioMed over 360 days. Orchestra BioMed is related to or competes with Canlan Ice, Yuexiu Transport, Verra Mobility, Mesa Air, Apogee Enterprises, Hooker Furniture, and Afya. Orchestra BioMed is entity of United States More

Orchestra BioMed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orchestra BioMed's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orchestra BioMed Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Orchestra BioMed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orchestra BioMed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orchestra BioMed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orchestra BioMed historical prices to predict the future Orchestra BioMed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.175.3510.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.728.9014.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.315.4910.66
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.5020.3322.57
Details

Orchestra BioMed Holdings Backtested Returns

As of now, Orchestra Stock is slightly risky. Orchestra BioMed Holdings maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0152, which implies the firm had a 0.0152% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Orchestra BioMed Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Orchestra BioMed's Coefficient Of Variation of 3197.93, risk adjusted performance of 0.0312, and Semi Deviation of 5.9 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0786%. Orchestra BioMed has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 1.35, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Orchestra BioMed will likely underperform. Orchestra BioMed Holdings right now holds a risk of 5.18%. Please check Orchestra BioMed Holdings jensen alpha, skewness, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if Orchestra BioMed Holdings will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

Orchestra BioMed Holdings has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orchestra BioMed time series from 18th of December 2023 to 15th of June 2024 and 15th of June 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orchestra BioMed Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Orchestra BioMed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.07

Orchestra BioMed Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Orchestra BioMed stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Orchestra BioMed's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Orchestra BioMed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Orchestra BioMed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Orchestra BioMed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Orchestra BioMed stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Orchestra BioMed stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Orchestra BioMed stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Orchestra BioMed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Orchestra BioMed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Orchestra BioMed stock have on its future price. Orchestra BioMed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Orchestra BioMed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Orchestra BioMed stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Orchestra BioMed Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Orchestra BioMed

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Orchestra BioMed position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orchestra BioMed will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Orchestra Stock

  0.59MRK Merck Company Fiscal Year End 6th of February 2025 PairCorr
  0.46LLY Eli LillyPairCorr
  0.43PFE Pfizer Inc Fiscal Year End 4th of February 2025 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Orchestra BioMed could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Orchestra BioMed when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Orchestra BioMed - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Orchestra BioMed Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Orchestra BioMed is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Orchestra BioMed moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Orchestra BioMed Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Orchestra BioMed can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Orchestra BioMed Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orchestra BioMed's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orchestra Biomed Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orchestra Biomed Holdings Stock:
Check out Orchestra BioMed Correlation, Orchestra BioMed Volatility and Orchestra BioMed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Orchestra BioMed.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Orchestra BioMed technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Orchestra BioMed technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Orchestra BioMed trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...