National Storage (Australia) Market Value

NSR Stock   2.10  0.03  1.45%   
National Storage's market value is the price at which a share of National Storage trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of National Storage REIT investors about its performance. National Storage is selling for under 2.10 as of the 17th of March 2025; that is 1.45 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 2.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of National Storage REIT and determine expected loss or profit from investing in National Storage over a given investment horizon. Check out National Storage Correlation, National Storage Volatility and National Storage Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on National Storage.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between National Storage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Storage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Storage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

National Storage 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to National Storage's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of National Storage.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in National Storage on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding National Storage REIT or generate 0.0% return on investment in National Storage over 90 days. National Storage is related to or competes with Kkr Credit, Westpac Banking, Prime Financial, Commonwealth Bank, MA Financial, COG Financial, and Perpetual Credit. National Storage is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange. More

National Storage Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure National Storage's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess National Storage REIT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

National Storage Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National Storage's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as National Storage's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use National Storage historical prices to predict the future National Storage's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.972.093.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.042.163.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.952.073.19
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.03
Details

National Storage REIT Backtested Returns

National Storage REIT has Sharpe Ratio of -0.14, which conveys that the firm had a -0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. National Storage exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify National Storage's Mean Deviation of 0.8591, risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Standard Deviation of 1.09 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.15, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, National Storage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Storage is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, National Storage REIT has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to verify National Storage's value at risk, skewness, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if National Storage REIT performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.87  

Very good predictability

National Storage REIT has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between National Storage time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of National Storage REIT price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current National Storage price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.87
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

National Storage REIT lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is National Storage stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting National Storage's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of National Storage returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that National Storage has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

National Storage regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If National Storage stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if National Storage stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in National Storage stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

National Storage Lagged Returns

When evaluating National Storage's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of National Storage stock have on its future price. National Storage autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, National Storage autocorrelation shows the relationship between National Storage stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in National Storage REIT.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for National Stock Analysis

When running National Storage's price analysis, check to measure National Storage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Storage is operating at the current time. Most of National Storage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Storage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Storage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Storage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.