Northern Star's market value is the price at which a share of Northern Star trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northern Star Resources investors about its performance. Northern Star is trading at 10.41 as of the 18th of January 2025. This is a 0.19 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 10.41. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northern Star Resources and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northern Star over a given investment horizon. Check out Northern Star Correlation, Northern Star Volatility and Northern Star Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northern Star.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Star's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Star is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Star's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Northern Star 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Star's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Star.
0.00
12/19/2024
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 31 days
01/18/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in Northern Star on December 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Star Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Star over 30 days. Northern Star is related to or competes with ZIJIN MINH, Newmont, Barrick Gold, Franco Nevada, Agnico Eagle, and Wheaton Precious. Northern Star Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, mining, processing, and sale of gold deposits i... More
Northern Star Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Star's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Star Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Star's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Star's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Star historical prices to predict the future Northern Star's volatility.
At this point, Northern Star is somewhat reliable. Northern Star Resources has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0011, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0011% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Northern Star, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Northern Star's Downside Deviation of 2.85, risk adjusted performance of 0.0462, and Mean Deviation of 1.95 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0029%. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.59, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Northern Star's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Star is expected to be smaller as well. Northern Star Resources right now secures a risk of 2.62%. Please verify Northern Star Resources maximum drawdown, potential upside, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Northern Star Resources will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation
0.60
Good predictability
Northern Star Resources has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Star time series from 19th of December 2024 to 3rd of January 2025 and 3rd of January 2025 to 18th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Star Resources price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Northern Star price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.6
Spearman Rank Test
0.39
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.05
Northern Star Resources lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Northern Star stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Star's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Star returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Star has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Northern Star regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Star stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Star stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Star stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Northern Star Lagged Returns
When evaluating Northern Star's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Star stock have on its future price. Northern Star autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Star autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Star stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Star Resources.
Northern Star financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Star security.