Merck (Mexico) Market Value
| MRK Stock | MXN 2,065 50.00 2.36% |
| Symbol | Merck |
Merck 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Merck's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Merck.
| 11/01/2024 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Merck on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Merck Company or generate 0.0% return on investment in Merck over 30 days. Merck is related to or competes with Bank of Nova Scotia, Micron Technology, Ameriprise Financial, CVS Health, and Martin Marietta. It operates through four segments Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances More
Merck Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Merck's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Merck Company upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 |
Merck Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Merck's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Merck's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Merck historical prices to predict the future Merck's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.41) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.30) |
Merck Company Backtested Returns
Merck Company has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0931, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0931% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Merck exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Merck's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), mean deviation of 1.29, and Standard Deviation of 1.64 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.46, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Merck's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merck is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Merck Company has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to verify Merck's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and day typical price , to decide if Merck Company performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.2 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Merck Company has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Merck time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Merck Company price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Merck price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3018.31 |
Merck Company lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Merck stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Merck's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Merck returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Merck has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Merck regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Merck stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Merck stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Merck stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Merck Lagged Returns
When evaluating Merck's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Merck stock have on its future price. Merck autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Merck autocorrelation shows the relationship between Merck stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Merck Company.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Merck Stock Analysis
When running Merck's price analysis, check to measure Merck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merck is operating at the current time. Most of Merck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.