MAG Silver (Germany) Market Value
MQ8 Stock | EUR 14.11 0.85 6.41% |
Symbol | MAG |
MAG Silver 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MAG Silver's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MAG Silver.
12/13/2024 |
| 03/13/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MAG Silver on December 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MAG Silver Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in MAG Silver over 90 days. MAG Silver is related to or competes with Aya Gold, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES, SINGAPORE AIRLINES, United Airlines, Zijin Mining, and GOLDQUEST MINING. MAG Silver Corp. focuses on acquiring, exploring, and development of mineral properties in Mexico More
MAG Silver Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MAG Silver's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MAG Silver Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | 0.0309 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 14.45 | |||
Value At Risk | (5.28) | |||
Potential Upside | 5.53 |
MAG Silver Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MAG Silver's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MAG Silver's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MAG Silver historical prices to predict the future MAG Silver's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0013 | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.4354 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.1433 |
MAG Silver Corp Backtested Returns
MAG Silver Corp has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MAG Silver exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MAG Silver's Mean Deviation of 2.32, standard deviation of 3.07, and Coefficient Of Variation of (13,983) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.22, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MAG Silver are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MAG Silver is likely to outperform the market. At this point, MAG Silver Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0219%. Please make sure to verify MAG Silver's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if MAG Silver Corp performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.43 |
Modest reverse predictability
MAG Silver Corp has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MAG Silver time series from 13th of December 2024 to 27th of January 2025 and 27th of January 2025 to 13th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MAG Silver Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current MAG Silver price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.43 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.14 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.62 |
MAG Silver Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is MAG Silver stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MAG Silver's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MAG Silver returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MAG Silver has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
MAG Silver regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MAG Silver stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MAG Silver stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MAG Silver stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
MAG Silver Lagged Returns
When evaluating MAG Silver's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MAG Silver stock have on its future price. MAG Silver autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MAG Silver autocorrelation shows the relationship between MAG Silver stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MAG Silver Corp.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in MAG Stock
When determining whether MAG Silver Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze MAG Silver's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MAG Silver's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MAG Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out MAG Silver Correlation, MAG Silver Volatility and MAG Silver Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MAG Silver. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
MAG Silver technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.