MAG Silver (Germany) Market Value
| MQ8 Stock | EUR 14.71 0.09 0.62% |
| Symbol | MAG |
MAG Silver 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MAG Silver's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MAG Silver.
| 02/02/2023 |
| 01/22/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MAG Silver on February 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MAG Silver Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in MAG Silver over 720 days. MAG Silver is related to or competes with Pan American, First Majestic, Silvercorp Metals, Endeavour Silver, Dolly Varden, and Americas Gold. MAG Silver Corp. focuses on acquiring, exploring, and development of mineral properties in Mexico More
MAG Silver Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MAG Silver's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MAG Silver Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0176 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.43 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.76 |
MAG Silver Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MAG Silver's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MAG Silver's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MAG Silver historical prices to predict the future MAG Silver's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0325 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0643 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0192 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1514 |
MAG Silver Corp Backtested Returns
MAG Silver Corp has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0401, which conveys that the company had a -0.0401 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MAG Silver exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MAG Silver's Downside Deviation of 2.68, mean deviation of 2.24, and Semi Deviation of 2.59 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.51, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, MAG Silver's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MAG Silver is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MAG Silver Corp has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to verify MAG Silver's downside deviation, information ratio, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if MAG Silver Corp performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.62 |
Very good reverse predictability
MAG Silver Corp has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MAG Silver time series from 2nd of February 2023 to 28th of January 2024 and 28th of January 2024 to 22nd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MAG Silver Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current MAG Silver price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.75 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.84 |
MAG Silver Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is MAG Silver stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MAG Silver's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MAG Silver returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MAG Silver has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
MAG Silver regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MAG Silver stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MAG Silver stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MAG Silver stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
MAG Silver Lagged Returns
When evaluating MAG Silver's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MAG Silver stock have on its future price. MAG Silver autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MAG Silver autocorrelation shows the relationship between MAG Silver stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MAG Silver Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in MAG Stock
When determining whether MAG Silver Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze MAG Silver's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MAG Silver's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MAG Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out MAG Silver Correlation, MAG Silver Volatility and MAG Silver Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MAG Silver. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
MAG Silver technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.