Gabelli Media Mogul Fund Market Value

MOGLX Fund  USD 9.53  0.14  1.49%   
Gabelli Media's market value is the price at which a share of Gabelli Media trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gabelli Media Mogul investors about its performance. Gabelli Media is trading at 9.53 as of the 3rd of March 2025; that is 1.49 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gabelli Media Mogul and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gabelli Media over a given investment horizon. Check out Gabelli Media Correlation, Gabelli Media Volatility and Gabelli Media Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gabelli Media.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gabelli Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gabelli Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gabelli Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gabelli Media 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gabelli Media's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gabelli Media.
0.00
11/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
03/03/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gabelli Media on November 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gabelli Media Mogul or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gabelli Media over 480 days. Gabelli Media is related to or competes with The Hartford, Simt Multi-asset, Fidelity Sai, Ab Bond, Tiaa Cref, and Federated Hermes. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment p... More

Gabelli Media Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gabelli Media's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gabelli Media Mogul upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gabelli Media Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gabelli Media's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gabelli Media's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gabelli Media historical prices to predict the future Gabelli Media's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.629.5310.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.579.4810.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.429.3310.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.039.459.87
Details

Gabelli Media Mogul Backtested Returns

Gabelli Media Mogul holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0299, which attests that the entity had a -0.0299 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Gabelli Media Mogul exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gabelli Media's market risk adjusted performance of (0), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0037 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.53, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gabelli Media's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gabelli Media is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.02  

Very weak reverse predictability

Gabelli Media Mogul has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gabelli Media time series from 9th of November 2023 to 6th of July 2024 and 6th of July 2024 to 3rd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gabelli Media Mogul price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Gabelli Media price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

Gabelli Media Mogul lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gabelli Media mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gabelli Media's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gabelli Media returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gabelli Media has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Media regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gabelli Media mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gabelli Media mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gabelli Media mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Media Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gabelli Media's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gabelli Media mutual fund have on its future price. Gabelli Media autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gabelli Media autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gabelli Media mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gabelli Media Mogul.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund

Gabelli Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Media security.
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