Molina Healthcare (Germany) Market Value
| MHG Stock | 275.60 3.30 1.18% |
| Symbol | Molina |
Molina Healthcare 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Molina Healthcare's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Molina Healthcare.
| 11/05/2024 |
| 01/04/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Molina Healthcare on November 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Molina Healthcare or generate 0.0% return on investment in Molina Healthcare over 60 days. Molina Healthcare is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, and Microsoft. More
Molina Healthcare Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Molina Healthcare's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Molina Healthcare upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.45 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.01) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.44 |
Molina Healthcare Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Molina Healthcare's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Molina Healthcare's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Molina Healthcare historical prices to predict the future Molina Healthcare's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1437 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Molina Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Molina Healthcare Backtested Returns
Molina Healthcare has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0102, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0102% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Molina Healthcare exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Molina Healthcare's Mean Deviation of 1.99, standard deviation of 3.74, and insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.39, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Molina Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Molina Healthcare is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Molina Healthcare has a negative expected return of -0.0396%. Please make sure to verify Molina Healthcare's skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Molina Healthcare performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.56 |
Modest predictability
Molina Healthcare has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Molina Healthcare time series from 5th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 4th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Molina Healthcare price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Molina Healthcare price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.56 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.49 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.96 |
Molina Healthcare lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Molina Healthcare stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Molina Healthcare's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Molina Healthcare returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Molina Healthcare has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Molina Healthcare regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Molina Healthcare stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Molina Healthcare stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Molina Healthcare stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Molina Healthcare Lagged Returns
When evaluating Molina Healthcare's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Molina Healthcare stock have on its future price. Molina Healthcare autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Molina Healthcare autocorrelation shows the relationship between Molina Healthcare stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Molina Healthcare.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Molina Stock Analysis
When running Molina Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Molina Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Molina Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Molina Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Molina Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Molina Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Molina Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.