Morgan Advanced Materials Stock Market Value
| MCRUF Stock | USD 3.26 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Morgan |
Morgan Advanced 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Morgan Advanced's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Morgan Advanced.
| 12/13/2022 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Morgan Advanced on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Morgan Advanced Materials or generate 0.0% return on investment in Morgan Advanced over 720 days. Morgan Advanced is related to or competes with Parker Hannifin, Eaton PLC, Dover, Illinois Tool, and Emerson Electric. Morgan Advanced Materials plc operates as a materials science and application engineering company primarily the United K... More
Morgan Advanced Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Morgan Advanced's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Morgan Advanced Materials upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.26 |
Morgan Advanced Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Morgan Advanced's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Morgan Advanced's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Morgan Advanced historical prices to predict the future Morgan Advanced's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.34) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.65) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.49) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Morgan Advanced's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Morgan Advanced Materials Backtested Returns
Morgan Advanced Materials has Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which conveys that the firm had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Morgan Advanced exposes sixteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Morgan Advanced's Standard Deviation of 2.26, risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Mean Deviation of 0.6717 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.56, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Morgan Advanced's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Morgan Advanced is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Morgan Advanced Materials has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to verify Morgan Advanced's treynor ratio and day median price , to decide if Morgan Advanced Materials performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.58 |
Modest predictability
Morgan Advanced Materials has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Morgan Advanced time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Morgan Advanced Materials price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Morgan Advanced price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.58 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.2 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.09 |
Morgan Advanced Materials lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Morgan Advanced pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Morgan Advanced's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Morgan Advanced returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Morgan Advanced has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Morgan Advanced regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Morgan Advanced pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Morgan Advanced pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Morgan Advanced pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Morgan Advanced Lagged Returns
When evaluating Morgan Advanced's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Morgan Advanced pink sheet have on its future price. Morgan Advanced autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Morgan Advanced autocorrelation shows the relationship between Morgan Advanced pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Morgan Advanced Materials.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Morgan Pink Sheet
Morgan Advanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morgan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morgan with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Advanced security.