Lemonade Stock Market Value

LMND Stock  USD 45.91  5.90  11.39%   
Lemonade's market value is the price at which a share of Lemonade trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lemonade investors about its performance. Lemonade is trading at 45.91 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 11.39 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 45.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lemonade and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lemonade over a given investment horizon. Check out Lemonade Correlation, Lemonade Volatility and Lemonade Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lemonade.
For information on how to trade Lemonade Stock refer to our How to Trade Lemonade Stock guide.
Symbol

Lemonade Price To Book Ratio

Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lemonade. If investors know Lemonade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lemonade listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(3.04)
Revenue Per Share
6.982
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.186
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.33)
The market value of Lemonade is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lemonade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lemonade's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lemonade's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lemonade's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lemonade's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lemonade's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lemonade is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lemonade's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lemonade 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lemonade's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lemonade.
0.00
12/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lemonade on December 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lemonade or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lemonade over 360 days. Lemonade is related to or competes with Fiverr International, Pinterest, Upstart Holdings, Fastly, and Crowdstrike Holdings. Lemonade, Inc. provides various insurance products in the United States and Europe More

Lemonade Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lemonade's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lemonade upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lemonade Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lemonade's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lemonade's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lemonade historical prices to predict the future Lemonade's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.6454.6960.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.5635.6156.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.5854.6460.69
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.7318.3820.40
Details

Lemonade Backtested Returns

Lemonade is not too volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Lemonade has Sharpe Ratio of 0.26, which conveys that the firm had a 0.26% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.62% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Lemonade Mean Deviation of 3.92, risk adjusted performance of 0.2391, and Downside Deviation of 2.79 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Lemonade holds a performance score of 20 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.11, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lemonade will likely underperform. Use Lemonade sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to analyze future returns on Lemonade.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.12  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Lemonade has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lemonade time series from 8th of December 2023 to 5th of June 2024 and 5th of June 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lemonade price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Lemonade price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.12
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance63.04

Lemonade lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lemonade stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lemonade's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lemonade returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lemonade has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lemonade regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lemonade stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lemonade stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lemonade stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lemonade Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lemonade's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lemonade stock have on its future price. Lemonade autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lemonade autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lemonade stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lemonade.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Lemonade is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lemonade's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lemonade's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lemonade Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lemonade Correlation, Lemonade Volatility and Lemonade Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lemonade.
For information on how to trade Lemonade Stock refer to our How to Trade Lemonade Stock guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Lemonade technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lemonade technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lemonade trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...