Lighthouse Hotel (Sri Lanka) Market Value

LHLN0000   58.20  3.80  6.13%   
Lighthouse Hotel's market value is the price at which a share of Lighthouse Hotel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lighthouse Hotel PLC investors about its performance. Lighthouse Hotel is trading at 58.20 as of the 16th of March 2025, a 6.13 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 62.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lighthouse Hotel PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lighthouse Hotel over a given investment horizon. Check out Lighthouse Hotel Correlation, Lighthouse Hotel Volatility and Lighthouse Hotel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lighthouse Hotel.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lighthouse Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lighthouse Hotel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lighthouse Hotel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lighthouse Hotel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lighthouse Hotel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lighthouse Hotel.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lighthouse Hotel on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lighthouse Hotel PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lighthouse Hotel over 90 days. More

Lighthouse Hotel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lighthouse Hotel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lighthouse Hotel PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lighthouse Hotel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lighthouse Hotel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lighthouse Hotel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lighthouse Hotel historical prices to predict the future Lighthouse Hotel's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.5858.2060.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.6851.3064.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.5160.1362.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.6161.6366.65
Details

Lighthouse Hotel PLC Backtested Returns

Lighthouse Hotel PLC has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lighthouse Hotel exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lighthouse Hotel's Mean Deviation of 1.74, risk adjusted performance of (0.0002), and Standard Deviation of 2.62 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Lighthouse Hotel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lighthouse Hotel is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lighthouse Hotel PLC has a negative expected return of -0.0208%. Please make sure to verify Lighthouse Hotel's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Lighthouse Hotel PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Lighthouse Hotel PLC has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lighthouse Hotel time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lighthouse Hotel PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Lighthouse Hotel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test-0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.14

Lighthouse Hotel PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lighthouse Hotel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lighthouse Hotel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lighthouse Hotel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lighthouse Hotel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lighthouse Hotel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lighthouse Hotel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lighthouse Hotel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lighthouse Hotel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lighthouse Hotel Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lighthouse Hotel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lighthouse Hotel stock have on its future price. Lighthouse Hotel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lighthouse Hotel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lighthouse Hotel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lighthouse Hotel PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Lighthouse Stock

Lighthouse Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lighthouse Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lighthouse with respect to the benefits of owning Lighthouse Hotel security.