CarMax (Mexico) Market Value

KMX Stock  MXN 1,686  53.00  3.05%   
CarMax's market value is the price at which a share of CarMax trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CarMax Inc investors about its performance. CarMax is trading at 1686.00 as of the 26th of December 2024; that is 3.05 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1739.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CarMax Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CarMax over a given investment horizon. Check out CarMax Correlation, CarMax Volatility and CarMax Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CarMax.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CarMax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CarMax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CarMax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CarMax 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CarMax's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CarMax.
0.00
11/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CarMax on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CarMax Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in CarMax over 30 days. CarMax is related to or competes with Bank of America, BHP, Grupo Profuturo, Boeing, Visa, and Farmacias Benavides. CarMax, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles in the United States More

CarMax Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CarMax's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CarMax Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CarMax Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CarMax's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CarMax's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CarMax historical prices to predict the future CarMax's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,6841,6861,688
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5171,9121,915
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,5881,5901,592
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
665.311,6672,669
Details

CarMax Inc Backtested Returns

CarMax appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. CarMax Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty technical indicators for CarMax Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of CarMax's Mean Deviation of 0.735, standard deviation of 2.25, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1258 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, CarMax holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CarMax's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CarMax is expected to be smaller as well. Please check CarMax's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether CarMax's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -1  

Near perfect reversele predictability

CarMax Inc has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CarMax time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CarMax Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -1.0 indicates that 100.0% of current CarMax price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-1.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance674.16

CarMax Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CarMax stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CarMax's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CarMax returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CarMax has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CarMax regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CarMax stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CarMax stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CarMax stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CarMax Lagged Returns

When evaluating CarMax's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CarMax stock have on its future price. CarMax autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CarMax autocorrelation shows the relationship between CarMax stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CarMax Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for CarMax Stock Analysis

When running CarMax's price analysis, check to measure CarMax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CarMax is operating at the current time. Most of CarMax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CarMax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CarMax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CarMax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.