Kensington Active Advantage Fund Market Value

KADAX Fund  USD 10.17  0.06  0.59%   
Kensington Active's market value is the price at which a share of Kensington Active trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kensington Active Advantage investors about its performance. Kensington Active is trading at 10.17 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 0.59 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kensington Active Advantage and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kensington Active over a given investment horizon. Check out Kensington Active Correlation, Kensington Active Volatility and Kensington Active Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kensington Active.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kensington Active's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kensington Active is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kensington Active's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kensington Active 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kensington Active's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kensington Active.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kensington Active on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kensington Active Advantage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kensington Active over 30 days. Kensington Active is related to or competes with Kensington Defender, Kensington Active, Kensington Active, Kensington Dynamic, Kensington Dynamic, and Kensington Dynamic. The fund primarily seeks to achieve its equity exposure by investing in one or more of the following investment types ot... More

Kensington Active Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kensington Active's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kensington Active Advantage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kensington Active Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kensington Active's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kensington Active's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kensington Active historical prices to predict the future Kensington Active's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7510.1710.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7410.1610.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6210.0410.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1310.2710.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kensington Active. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kensington Active's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kensington Active's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kensington Active.

Kensington Active Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Kensington Mutual Fund to be very steady. Kensington Active has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0755, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0755% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Kensington Active, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Kensington Active's Downside Deviation of 0.4949, mean deviation of 0.2864, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0501 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0314%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.43, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kensington Active's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kensington Active is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Kensington Active Advantage has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kensington Active time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kensington Active price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Kensington Active price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Kensington Active lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kensington Active mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kensington Active's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kensington Active returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kensington Active has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kensington Active regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kensington Active mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kensington Active mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kensington Active mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kensington Active Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kensington Active's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kensington Active mutual fund have on its future price. Kensington Active autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kensington Active autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kensington Active mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kensington Active Advantage.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kensington Mutual Fund

Kensington Active financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kensington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kensington with respect to the benefits of owning Kensington Active security.
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