China Gold International Stock Market Value

JINFF Stock  USD 4.83  0.21  4.17%   
China Gold's market value is the price at which a share of China Gold trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Gold International investors about its performance. China Gold is trading at 4.83 as of the 3rd of December 2024. This is a 4.17 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.83.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Gold International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Gold over a given investment horizon. Check out China Gold Correlation, China Gold Volatility and China Gold Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Gold.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between China Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Gold 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Gold's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Gold.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Gold on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Gold International or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Gold over 30 days. China Gold is related to or competes with Atlas Corp, PureCycle Technologies, and GCM Grosvenor. Ltd., a gold and base metal mining company, acquires, explores for, develops, and mines mineral properties in the People... More

China Gold Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Gold's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Gold International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Gold Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Gold historical prices to predict the future China Gold's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.764.838.90
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.988.05
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Gold International.

China Gold International Backtested Returns

China Gold appears to be unstable, given 3 months investment horizon. China Gold International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0917, which signifies that the company had a 0.0917% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for China Gold International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of China Gold's Downside Deviation of 6.59, mean deviation of 2.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0128 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, China Gold holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning China Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, China Gold is likely to outperform the market. Please check China Gold's potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether China Gold's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

China Gold International has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Gold time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Gold International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current China Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.09

China Gold International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Gold pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Gold's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Gold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Gold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Gold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Gold pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Gold pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Gold pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Gold Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Gold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Gold pink sheet have on its future price. China Gold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Gold autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Gold pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Gold International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Gold security.