Julius Br Gruppe Stock Market Value

JBARF Stock  USD 66.72  1.77  2.73%   
Julius Bär's market value is the price at which a share of Julius Bär trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Julius Br Gruppe investors about its performance. Julius Bär is trading at 66.72 as of the 1st of December 2024. This is a 2.73 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 66.72.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Julius Br Gruppe and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Julius Bär over a given investment horizon. Check out Julius Bär Correlation, Julius Bär Volatility and Julius Bär Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Julius Bär.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Julius Bär's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Julius Bär is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Julius Bär's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Julius Bär 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Julius Bär's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Julius Bär.
0.00
06/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Julius Bär on June 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Julius Br Gruppe or generate 0.0% return on investment in Julius Bär over 180 days. Julius Bär is related to or competes with Julius Baer, NN Group, Erste Group, Partners, and 3i Group. Julius Br Gruppe AG provides wealth management solutions in Switzerland, Europe, Americas, Asia, and internationally More

Julius Bär Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Julius Bär's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Julius Br Gruppe upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Julius Bär Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Julius Bär's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Julius Bär's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Julius Bär historical prices to predict the future Julius Bär's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.7866.7269.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.4262.3673.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.5367.4770.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.4865.8967.31
Details

Julius Br Gruppe Backtested Returns

Julius Bär appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Julius Br Gruppe holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0863, which attests that the entity had a 0.0863% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Julius Br Gruppe, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Julius Bär's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3212, downside deviation of 4.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0715 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Julius Bär holds a performance score of 6. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.78, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Julius Bär's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Julius Bär is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Julius Bär's potential upside, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Julius Bär's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.17  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Julius Br Gruppe has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Julius Bär time series from 4th of June 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Julius Br Gruppe price movement. The serial correlation of -0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Julius Bär price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.17
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.63

Julius Br Gruppe lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Julius Bär pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Julius Bär's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Julius Bär returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Julius Bär has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Julius Bär regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Julius Bär pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Julius Bär pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Julius Bär pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Julius Bär Lagged Returns

When evaluating Julius Bär's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Julius Bär pink sheet have on its future price. Julius Bär autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Julius Bär autocorrelation shows the relationship between Julius Bär pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Julius Br Gruppe.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Julius Pink Sheet

Julius Bär financial ratios help investors to determine whether Julius Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Julius with respect to the benefits of owning Julius Bär security.