ASTRA GRAPHIA (Germany) Market Value
IUA Stock | 0.04 0 2.74% |
Symbol | ASTRA |
ASTRA GRAPHIA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ASTRA GRAPHIA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ASTRA GRAPHIA.
12/12/2024 |
| 03/12/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ASTRA GRAPHIA on December 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ASTRA GRAPHIA or generate 0.0% return on investment in ASTRA GRAPHIA over 90 days. ASTRA GRAPHIA is related to or competes with Chiba Bank, ATRESMEDIA, CREDIT AGRICOLE, Nexstar Media, and Virtu Financial. More
ASTRA GRAPHIA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ASTRA GRAPHIA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ASTRA GRAPHIA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 17.92 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0865 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 128.46 | |||
Value At Risk | (34.78) | |||
Potential Upside | 53.25 |
ASTRA GRAPHIA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ASTRA GRAPHIA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ASTRA GRAPHIA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ASTRA GRAPHIA historical prices to predict the future ASTRA GRAPHIA's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0768 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 1.36 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 4.89 | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.0991 | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.76) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ASTRA GRAPHIA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ASTRA GRAPHIA Backtested Returns
ASTRA GRAPHIA is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. ASTRA GRAPHIA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0794, which signifies that the company had a 0.0794 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We are able to break down and analyze data for twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.72% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use ASTRA GRAPHIA mean deviation of 9.23, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0768 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. ASTRA GRAPHIA holds a performance score of 6 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -2.16, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ASTRA GRAPHIA are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, ASTRA GRAPHIA is expected to outperform it. Use ASTRA GRAPHIA maximum drawdown, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and rate of daily change , to analyze future returns on ASTRA GRAPHIA.
Auto-correlation | 0.06 |
Virtually no predictability
ASTRA GRAPHIA has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ASTRA GRAPHIA time series from 12th of December 2024 to 26th of January 2025 and 26th of January 2025 to 12th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ASTRA GRAPHIA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current ASTRA GRAPHIA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.06 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.13 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
ASTRA GRAPHIA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ASTRA GRAPHIA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ASTRA GRAPHIA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ASTRA GRAPHIA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ASTRA GRAPHIA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
ASTRA GRAPHIA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ASTRA GRAPHIA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ASTRA GRAPHIA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ASTRA GRAPHIA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
ASTRA GRAPHIA Lagged Returns
When evaluating ASTRA GRAPHIA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ASTRA GRAPHIA stock have on its future price. ASTRA GRAPHIA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ASTRA GRAPHIA autocorrelation shows the relationship between ASTRA GRAPHIA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ASTRA GRAPHIA.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for ASTRA Stock Analysis
When running ASTRA GRAPHIA's price analysis, check to measure ASTRA GRAPHIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASTRA GRAPHIA is operating at the current time. Most of ASTRA GRAPHIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASTRA GRAPHIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASTRA GRAPHIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASTRA GRAPHIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.