Bank Artha (Indonesia) Market Value
| INPC Stock | IDR 157.00 3.00 1.87% |
| Symbol | Bank |
Bank Artha 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bank Artha's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bank Artha.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Bank Artha on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bank Artha Graha or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bank Artha over 90 days. Bank Artha is related to or competes with Bank Victoria, Bank Bumi, Bank Mnc, Bank Qnb, and Bank Pembangunan. More
Bank Artha Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bank Artha's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bank Artha Graha upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 36.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (12.28) | |||
| Potential Upside | 20.47 |
Bank Artha Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bank Artha's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bank Artha's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bank Artha historical prices to predict the future Bank Artha's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.93) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.81) |
Bank Artha Graha Backtested Returns
Bank Artha Graha secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the company had a -0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bank Artha Graha exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bank Artha's Mean Deviation of 5.63, standard deviation of 8.24, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.32, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Bank Artha will likely underperform. At this point, Bank Artha Graha has a negative expected return of -1.06%. Please make sure to confirm Bank Artha's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Bank Artha Graha performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.61 |
Good predictability
Bank Artha Graha has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bank Artha time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bank Artha Graha price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Bank Artha price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.46 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 498.24 |
Bank Artha Graha lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Bank Artha stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bank Artha's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bank Artha returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bank Artha has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Bank Artha regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bank Artha stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bank Artha stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bank Artha stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Bank Artha Lagged Returns
When evaluating Bank Artha's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bank Artha stock have on its future price. Bank Artha autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bank Artha autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bank Artha stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bank Artha Graha.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Bank Artha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Artha security.