Immutable Market Value

IMX Crypto  USD 1.75  0.01  0.57%   
Immutable's market value is the price at which a share of Immutable trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Immutable X investors about its performance. Immutable is trading at 1.75 as of the 28th of November 2024, a 0.57% down since the beginning of the trading day. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Immutable X and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Immutable over a given investment horizon. Check out Immutable Correlation, Immutable Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Immutable.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Immutable's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Immutable value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Immutable's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.

Immutable 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Immutable's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Immutable.
0.00
09/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Immutable on September 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Immutable X or generate 0.0% return on investment in Immutable over 60 days. Immutable is related to or competes with Staked Ether, EigenLayer, BLZ, Highstreet, Tokocrypto, and DIA. Immutable X is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.

Immutable Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Immutable's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Immutable X upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Immutable Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Immutable's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Immutable's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Immutable historical prices to predict the future Immutable's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.757.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.347.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.947.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.051.431.80
Details

Immutable X Backtested Returns

Immutable appears to be unusually risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Immutable X holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0954, which attests that digital coin had a 0.0954% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Immutable's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.56% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Immutable's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2354, downside deviation of 6.3, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0669 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The crypto retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.94, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Immutable will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.58  

Good reverse predictability

Immutable X has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Immutable time series from 29th of September 2024 to 29th of October 2024 and 29th of October 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Immutable X price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Immutable price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.58
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Immutable X lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Immutable crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Immutable's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Immutable returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Immutable has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Immutable regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Immutable crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Immutable crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Immutable crypto coin over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Immutable Lagged Returns

When evaluating Immutable's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Immutable crypto coin have on its future price. Immutable autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Immutable autocorrelation shows the relationship between Immutable crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Immutable X.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Immutable X offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Immutable's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Immutable X Crypto.
Check out Immutable Correlation, Immutable Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Immutable.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Immutable technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Immutable technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Immutable trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...