Impala Platinum (South Africa) Market Value

IMP Stock   9,475  4.00  0.04%   
Impala Platinum's market value is the price at which a share of Impala Platinum trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Impala Platinum Holdings investors about its performance. Impala Platinum is trading at 9475.00 as of the 5th of March 2025, a 0.04 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 9274.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Impala Platinum Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Impala Platinum over a given investment horizon. Check out Impala Platinum Correlation, Impala Platinum Volatility and Impala Platinum Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Impala Platinum.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Impala Platinum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Impala Platinum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Impala Platinum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Impala Platinum 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Impala Platinum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Impala Platinum.
0.00
02/03/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Impala Platinum on February 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Impala Platinum Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Impala Platinum over 30 days. Impala Platinum is related to or competes with Bytes Technology, Kumba Iron, Brimstone Investment, Frontier Transport, and RCL Foods. More

Impala Platinum Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Impala Platinum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Impala Platinum Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Impala Platinum Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Impala Platinum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Impala Platinum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Impala Platinum historical prices to predict the future Impala Platinum's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,4729,4759,478
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,0478,05010,422
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8,9558,9588,961
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,8999,74610,593
Details

Impala Platinum Holdings Backtested Returns

Impala Platinum Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0313, which attests that the entity had a -0.0313 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Impala Platinum Holdings exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Impala Platinum's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), market risk adjusted performance of 0.5088, and Standard Deviation of 2.81 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.2, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Impala Platinum are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Impala Platinum is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Impala Platinum Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.088%. Please make sure to check out Impala Platinum's maximum drawdown, kurtosis, day median price, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if Impala Platinum Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

Impala Platinum Holdings has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Impala Platinum time series from 3rd of February 2025 to 18th of February 2025 and 18th of February 2025 to 5th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Impala Platinum Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Impala Platinum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance89.2 K

Impala Platinum Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Impala Platinum stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Impala Platinum's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Impala Platinum returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Impala Platinum has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Impala Platinum regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Impala Platinum stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Impala Platinum stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Impala Platinum stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Impala Platinum Lagged Returns

When evaluating Impala Platinum's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Impala Platinum stock have on its future price. Impala Platinum autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Impala Platinum autocorrelation shows the relationship between Impala Platinum stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Impala Platinum Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Impala Stock

Impala Platinum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impala Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impala with respect to the benefits of owning Impala Platinum security.