Immofonds (Switzerland) Market Value

IM Fund  CHF 592.00  2.00  0.34%   
Immofonds' market value is the price at which a share of Immofonds trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Immofonds investors about its performance. Immofonds is selling for under 592.00 as of the 26th of December 2024; that is 0.34 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 592.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Immofonds and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Immofonds over a given investment horizon. Check out Immofonds Correlation, Immofonds Volatility and Immofonds Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Immofonds.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Immofonds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Immofonds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Immofonds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Immofonds 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Immofonds' fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Immofonds.
0.00
06/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Immofonds on June 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Immofonds or generate 0.0% return on investment in Immofonds over 180 days. More

Immofonds Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Immofonds' fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Immofonds upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Immofonds Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Immofonds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Immofonds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Immofonds historical prices to predict the future Immofonds' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Immofonds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
591.33592.00592.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
585.08585.75651.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
591.81592.48593.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
482.02582.20682.38
Details

Immofonds Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Immofonds Fund to be very steady. Immofonds holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.25, which attests that the entity had a 0.25% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Immofonds, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Immofonds' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.69), downside deviation of 0.7925, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2219 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.25, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Immofonds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Immofonds is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Immofonds has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Immofonds time series from 29th of June 2024 to 27th of September 2024 and 27th of September 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Immofonds price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Immofonds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance297.25

Immofonds lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Immofonds fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Immofonds' fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Immofonds returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Immofonds has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Immofonds regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Immofonds fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Immofonds fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Immofonds fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Immofonds Lagged Returns

When evaluating Immofonds' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Immofonds fund have on its future price. Immofonds autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Immofonds autocorrelation shows the relationship between Immofonds fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Immofonds.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Immofonds Fund

Immofonds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Immofonds Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Immofonds with respect to the benefits of owning Immofonds security.
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