Morgan Stanley India Fund Market Value

IIF Fund  USD 24.59  0.31  1.28%   
Morgan Stanley's market value is the price at which a share of Morgan Stanley trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Morgan Stanley India investors about its performance. Morgan Stanley is trading at 24.59 as of the 25th of March 2025. This is a 1.28 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 24.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Morgan Stanley India and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Morgan Stanley over a given investment horizon. Check out Morgan Stanley Correlation, Morgan Stanley Volatility and Morgan Stanley Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Morgan Stanley.
For more detail on how to invest in Morgan Fund please use our How to Invest in Morgan Stanley guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Morgan Stanley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Morgan Stanley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Morgan Stanley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Morgan Stanley 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Morgan Stanley's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Morgan Stanley.
0.00
12/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/25/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Morgan Stanley on December 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Morgan Stanley India or generate 0.0% return on investment in Morgan Stanley over 90 days. Morgan Stanley is related to or competes with Aberdeen Income, BlackRock Utility, Aberdeen Australia, Pgim High, Morgan Stanley, Central Europe, and Ashmore Group. Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc More

Morgan Stanley Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Morgan Stanley's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Morgan Stanley India upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Morgan Stanley Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Morgan Stanley's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Morgan Stanley's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Morgan Stanley historical prices to predict the future Morgan Stanley's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.6224.6025.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5324.5125.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.5425.5226.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.5123.4724.43
Details

Morgan Stanley India Backtested Returns

Morgan Stanley India has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0641, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0641 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Morgan Stanley exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Morgan Stanley's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1), standard deviation of 0.9658, and Mean Deviation of 0.797 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.38, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Morgan Stanley's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Morgan Stanley is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

Morgan Stanley India has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Morgan Stanley time series from 25th of December 2024 to 8th of February 2025 and 8th of February 2025 to 25th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Morgan Stanley India price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Morgan Stanley price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23
Morgan ReturnsMorgan Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayMorgan ReturnsMorgan Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Morgan Stanley India lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Morgan Stanley fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Morgan Stanley's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Morgan Stanley returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Morgan Stanley has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 10Feb 15Feb 20Feb 25MarMar 07Mar 12Mar 17Mar 22-6%-5%-4%-3%-2%-1%0%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

Morgan Stanley regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Morgan Stanley fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Morgan Stanley fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Morgan Stanley fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 10Feb 15Feb 20Feb 25MarMar 07Mar 12Mar 17Mar 2223.524.024.525.0
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

Morgan Stanley Lagged Returns

When evaluating Morgan Stanley's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Morgan Stanley fund have on its future price. Morgan Stanley autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Morgan Stanley autocorrelation shows the relationship between Morgan Stanley fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Morgan Stanley India.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152025FebMar23.023.524.024.525.025.5
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Morgan Fund

Morgan Stanley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morgan Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morgan with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Stanley security.
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