Herald Investment's market value is the price at which a share of Herald Investment trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Herald Investment Trust investors about its performance. Herald Investment is trading at 2035.00 as of the 28th of March 2025, a 1.21 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2035.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Herald Investment Trust and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Herald Investment over a given investment horizon. Check out Herald Investment Correlation, Herald Investment Volatility and Herald Investment Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Herald Investment.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Herald Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Herald Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Herald Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Herald Investment 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Herald Investment's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Herald Investment.
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Herald Investment's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Herald Investment Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Herald Investment's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Herald Investment's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Herald Investment historical prices to predict the future Herald Investment's volatility.
Herald Investment Trust holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.22, which attests that the entity had a -0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Herald Investment Trust exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Herald Investment's Standard Deviation of 1.22, risk adjusted performance of (0.17), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.96) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.28, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Herald Investment's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Herald Investment is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Herald Investment Trust has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to check out Herald Investment's value at risk, accumulation distribution, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the skewness and rate of daily change , to decide if Herald Investment Trust performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation
0.87
Very good predictability
Herald Investment Trust has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Herald Investment time series from 28th of December 2024 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 28th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Herald Investment Trust price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Herald Investment price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.87
Spearman Rank Test
0.73
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
12.1 K
Herald Investment Trust lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Herald Investment stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Herald Investment's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Herald Investment returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Herald Investment has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Herald Investment regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Herald Investment stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Herald Investment stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Herald Investment stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Herald Investment Lagged Returns
When evaluating Herald Investment's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Herald Investment stock have on its future price. Herald Investment autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Herald Investment autocorrelation shows the relationship between Herald Investment stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Herald Investment Trust.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Herald Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Herald Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Herald with respect to the benefits of owning Herald Investment security.