ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES (Germany) Market Value
| HNM Stock | 65.64 0.06 0.09% |
| Symbol | ORMAT |
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES or generate 0.0% return on investment in ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES over 90 days. ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is related to or competes with ALERION CLEANPOWER, DOCDATA, Major Drilling, ULTRA CLEAN, Alibaba Health, BORR DRILLING, and Data Modul. More
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.71 |
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES historical prices to predict the future ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0628 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5211 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Backtested Returns
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0372, which implies the firm had a -0.0372 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,187) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.31, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES has a negative expected return of -0.0638%. Please make sure to check ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Auto-correlation | -0.58 |
Good reverse predictability
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.58 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.55 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.52 |
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Lagged Returns
When evaluating ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES stock have on its future price. ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES autocorrelation shows the relationship between ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for ORMAT Stock Analysis
When running ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's price analysis, check to measure ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is operating at the current time. Most of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.