Homebiogas (Israel) Market Value

HMGS Stock  ILA 129.10  2.80  2.12%   
Homebiogas' market value is the price at which a share of Homebiogas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Homebiogas investors about its performance. Homebiogas is trading at 129.10 as of the 28th of February 2025, a 2.12 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 131.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Homebiogas and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Homebiogas over a given investment horizon. Check out Homebiogas Correlation, Homebiogas Volatility and Homebiogas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Homebiogas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Homebiogas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Homebiogas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Homebiogas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Homebiogas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Homebiogas' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Homebiogas.
0.00
03/11/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
02/28/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Homebiogas on March 11, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Homebiogas or generate 0.0% return on investment in Homebiogas over 720 days. Homebiogas is related to or competes with WhiteSmoke Software, Harel Insurance, Rapac Communication, Bezeq Israeli, First International, Suny Cellular, and Priortech. HomeBiogas LTD develops, produces, and markets biogas systems for treatment of organic waste into clean energy for house... More

Homebiogas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Homebiogas' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Homebiogas upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Homebiogas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Homebiogas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Homebiogas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Homebiogas historical prices to predict the future Homebiogas' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
115.89129.10142.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
115.88129.09142.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
114.37127.58140.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
123.55149.39175.23
Details

Homebiogas Backtested Returns

Homebiogas is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Homebiogas holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.09% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Homebiogas Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 12.19, risk adjusted performance of 0.1257, and Downside Deviation of 6.04 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Homebiogas holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.17, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Homebiogas' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Homebiogas is expected to be smaller as well. Use Homebiogas total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to analyze future returns on Homebiogas.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.89  

Very good predictability

Homebiogas has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Homebiogas time series from 11th of March 2023 to 5th of March 2024 and 5th of March 2024 to 28th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Homebiogas price movement. The serial correlation of 0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Homebiogas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.89
Spearman Rank Test0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance11 K

Homebiogas lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Homebiogas stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Homebiogas' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Homebiogas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Homebiogas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Homebiogas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Homebiogas stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Homebiogas stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Homebiogas stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Homebiogas Lagged Returns

When evaluating Homebiogas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Homebiogas stock have on its future price. Homebiogas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Homebiogas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Homebiogas stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Homebiogas.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Homebiogas Stock

Homebiogas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Homebiogas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Homebiogas with respect to the benefits of owning Homebiogas security.